If you haven’t been paying attention to this column for the last month and a half, the odds are you haven’t been winning any money gambling. And that’s a shame. My record is now 13-5-1, as I went 4-1 in my most recent edition to continue my hot streak. However, making genius picks isn’t easy, so I took a break from betting over the Thanksgiving holiday to travel and see family. But rest assured, my faithful followers, I am back and more focused than ever on helping you win. These bets are 100 PERCENT GUARANTEED TO MAKE US ALL RICH, and I am willing to share them with you to prove it. I’m putting my money where my mouth is. Feel free to join me.
CAN’T LOSE BET #1 (College Football)
Oklahoma (+10) at Oklahoma State – Oklahoma +10
As you may know, I love to bet against trends (especially against the spread), and this game offers up a doozy. Oklahoma St. has won seven straight games, and six straight ATS. That means it’s time to back the Sooners. The Cowboys are a great team, but to be favored by 10, even at home, in a big rivalry game is too much. Take Oklahoma and the points, and hammer it if the spread happens to jump to 10.5.
CAN’T LOSE BET #2 (College Football)
Ohio State vs. Michigan State (+5.5) – Michigan State +5.5
The Big Ten Championship is going to be a good one, as there is little debate that these are the best two teams in the conference. They are also two very different teams, with Ohio St. scoring 48.2 PPG (3rd in the country) and Michigan St. allowing just 11.8 PPG (4th in the country). But honestly, this just comes down to the ol’ eyeball test. I have seen many Big Ten games this year, and the Spartans are the better squad. They are dominant against the run, which will keep the Buckeyes from setting up big pass plays, and their offense is much improved. In the last two seasons when these teams met, the games were decided by 1 point and 3 points (OSU won in 2012, MSU in 2011). Expect another super close one. Take the points with Michigan State. (Note: This game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indy).
CAN’T LOSE B
ET #3 (NFL)
Tennessee at Denver – OVER 48.5
The Broncos started the season off with eight straight over games, and then I told you to bet the under and it hit (twice in a row). Well now Denver is back to scoring 30+ points a game and is still not playing great defense, so it’s time to jump back on the over. This game opened at 50.5, but has already dropped two points because bettors are worried about the cold and the Titans offense. Hogwash. This is a classic trap game for the Broncos, coming off a big victory at Kansas City and looking forward to a Thursday night divisional matchup against San Diego. I fully expect Denver to give up a lot of points, but still score a lot like they do. Tennessee +12 is tempting, too, but it’s hard to bet against Peyton. The over is the lock.
CAN’T LOSE BET #4 (NFL)
Minnesota at Baltimore (-6) – Baltimore -6
Despite having the equivalent of me quarterbacking for them (read: a shitty quarterback), the Vikings are 2-2-1 since November started and are 4-1 ATS. That’s respectable, but it’s not going to stop me from betting against them. Minnesota sucks on the road and the Ravens are playing well lately, coming off a big Thanksgiving win over the Steelers in which they should have covered the spread if it weren’t for that cheating S.O.B. Mike Tomlin. Regardless, the defending Super Bowl champs are very much in the playoff hunt right now and need this win badly. Expect them to show up after their long break and dominate the Vikes. Chow down on the Ravens like Jacoby Jones did on this turkey leg.
