Many are worried that a potential Hurricane Nadine might be the next major hurricane or tropical depression to hit Florida after hurricanes Milton and Helene. With these two storms appearing back-to-back within a week, having yet another hurricane impact the United States so soon would be unlucky. Several posts from The Daily Mail and X (formerly Twitter) suggest that a low-pressure system forming in the Atlantic that would be named ‘Nadine’ could hit Florida. However, models project that this path for this system is heading elsewhere.
What is the path of potential Hurricane Nadine?
The path of a potential Hurricane Nadine is heading east across the Atlantic Ocean according to spaghetti models from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). Early-cycle track guidance models for this system are shown below.
As of Wednesday, October 9 at 2:00 PM PT, the system called AL93 in the North Atlantic basin has a low 30% chance of becoming a cyclone over the next 2 days as well as over the next 7 days. If it does develop into a tropical storm, it will then officially be called Nadine. If it doesn’t, then Nadine will be reserved for the next tropical storm or hurricane.
But as noted by the National Hurricane Center, conditions are becoming “less favorable” for tropical or subtropical development of the system on Wednesday and predicts that upper-level winds will be too strong for it increase in strength through to Thursday.
That said, the Atlantic hurricane season for 2024 ends on November 30, so there’s still about two months for another major hurricane to impact the United States. According to the NOAA back in May, 2024 was predicted to have an “above-normal” hurricane season considering warmer-than-average ocean temperatures in the Gulf. The chance for an above-normal season to happen was upgraded to 90% in August.
After Nadine, the names for future tropical storms are in order Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sara, Tony, Valerie, and William.
